What Are the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut?
Federal Reserve rate cut odds are among the most important signals in financial markets. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations about FOMC decisions, giving you a real-time probability for upcoming rate cuts that often leads traditional indicators like the CME FedWatch tool.
These odds incorporate inflation data, employment reports, GDP growth, and Fed commentary. Traders constantly adjust positions as new economic data releases shift the outlook, making prediction markets one of the fastest-reacting indicators for monetary policy expectations.
Whether you are an investor trying to position your portfolio or simply curious about where rates are headed, the markets below show exactly what traders with real money at stake expect from the Federal Reserve in the coming months.
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Quick answer
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Based on $708K in 24h trading volume
2%
Yes probability
Live prediction markets
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$708K today
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
$529K today
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$448K today
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$407K today
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
$244K today
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$151K today
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$131K today
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$130K today
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$118K today
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$112K today
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