When Will the Next Recession Start?

Recession timing is one of the most valuable signals in financial markets, and prediction markets provide a continuously updated estimate backed by real money. Traders assess leading economic indicators, yield curve dynamics, employment trends, and policy actions to bet on specific recession windows.

The current market environment presents a complex picture. Traders weigh strong employment data against manufacturing weakness, resilient consumer spending against elevated interest rates, and fiscal stimulus against monetary tightening. The prediction market odds below synthesize all of these factors.

Historically, prediction markets have provided earlier recession signals than traditional economic indicators, which are often revised after the fact. The odds here give you the trader consensus on recession timing in real time.