Outcalled
Will Russell Findlay be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?

Will Russell Findlay be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?

2%

probability

--

24h change

$160

24h volume

$7K

liquidity

Yes

2%

No

98%

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Quick call

Will Russell Findlay be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends May 7, 2026

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