Outcalled
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

68%

probability

+57.5%

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$9K

liquidity

Yes

68%

No

32%

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Quick call

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends April 30, 2026

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