Who Will Win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Q: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Current prediction market odds: 16% Yes. This market has $622K in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The odds are based on real-money trades from thousands of participants and update continuously.

Q: Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Current prediction market odds: 0% Yes. This market has $330K in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The odds are based on real-money trades from thousands of participants and update continuously.

Q: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Current prediction market odds: 1% Yes. This market has $290K in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The odds are based on real-money trades from thousands of participants and update continuously.

Q: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Current prediction market odds: 0% Yes. This market has $249K in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The odds are based on real-money trades from thousands of participants and update continuously.

Q: Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Current prediction market odds: 0% Yes. This market has $213K in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket. The odds are based on real-money trades from thousands of participants and update continuously.

The 2028 US presidential election is already being actively traded in prediction markets, with odds shifting as potential candidates signal their intentions and early polling data emerges. These markets provide the most up-to-date and calibrated assessment of each candidate's chances.

Traders factor in candidate name recognition, fundraising potential, primary dynamics, demographic shifts, and economic conditions to price each potential nominee. Prediction market odds for elections have historically outperformed polls, especially at this early stage when polling is sparse and unreliable.

Unlike horse-race polling that captures a snapshot in time, prediction markets update continuously as new information comes in, from candidate announcements to policy positions to debate performances. See the latest odds below.

Active markets

$3.2M

24h volume

16%

Top market odds