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World Cup 2026 Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the biggest sporting event on the prediction market calendar. Hosted across the United States, Mexico, and Canada, this expanded 48-team tournament is generating enormous trading volume as bettors and prediction market traders position on everything from the tournament winner to individual match outcomes.

Prediction markets offer a unique lens on World Cup odds because they aggregate real-money bets from a global pool of traders. Unlike traditional bookmakers, prediction market prices are driven purely by trader consensus, with no built-in house edge. This makes them one of the purest signals available for World Cup forecasting.

Browse live World Cup 2026 odds, track which teams are gaining or losing momentum in the markets, and see how real money is positioned ahead of the tournament.

35

Active markets

$9.2M

24h volume

0.3%

Biggest mover

Live World Cup 2026 Predictions Markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
-0.1%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$826K today

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14%
+0.3%

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$696K today

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
-0.1%

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$659K today

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$541K today

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
+0.1%

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$381K today

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
+0.1%

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$325K today

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$323K today

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5%
+0.1%

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$310K today

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
+0.1%

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$296K today

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
+0.2%

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$288K today

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$269K today

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$245K today

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12%
-0.3%

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$224K today

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$222K today

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$215K today

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$211K today

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$210K today

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$188K today

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$187K today

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$186K today

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$185K today

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$176K today

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$175K today

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
+0.1%

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$175K today

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$174K today

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$173K today

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$170K today

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$159K today

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$157K today

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$156K today

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$150K today

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$150K today

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$145K today

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$137K today

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$134K today

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Related predictions

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Read our in-depth analysis

Deep dive into world cup 2026 predictions with data, charts, and historical context.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup?

Prediction market odds fluctuate based on qualifying results, friendlies, and team news. Check the live markets above for the most current tournament winner probabilities. Historically, Brazil, France, Argentina, and the host nations tend to attract significant volume.

How accurate are World Cup prediction markets?

Prediction markets have a strong track record in major sporting events. They aggregate diverse information from fans, analysts, and data-driven traders. While no forecast is perfect, real-money odds tend to be better calibrated than pundit predictions.

Can I bet on individual World Cup matches?

Yes. As the tournament approaches, Polymarket typically offers markets on group stage outcomes, individual match results, top scorer, and other prop markets. Sign up through Outcalled for bonus funds.

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