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2028 Election Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis

The 2028 US presidential election is already generating massive trading volume on prediction markets. With both parties navigating shifting political landscapes, traders are placing real money on potential nominees, general election matchups, and swing state outcomes. These markets provide some of the earliest and most accurate signals about the next presidential race.

Prediction markets proved their value in previous election cycles, consistently outperforming traditional polls and pundit forecasts. For 2028, the markets are tracking everything from primary frontrunners and dark horse candidates to vice presidential picks and Electoral College scenarios. Every price reflects real capital at risk.

Follow the latest 2028 election odds, see which candidates are gaining momentum, and compare prediction market data to polling averages and expert analysis.

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Active markets

$11.4M

24h volume

0.5%

Biggest mover

Live 2028 Election Predictions Markets

Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
0%
-0.4%

Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

$1.2M today

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$875K today

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8%
+0.4%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$693K today

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$615K today

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$589K today

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
-0.3%

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$551K today

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
+0.1%

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$542K today

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$508K today

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
-0.1%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$490K today

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24%
-0.1%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$421K today

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$365K today

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
+0.2%

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$363K today

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
+0.1%

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$340K today

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$291K today

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$291K today

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$282K today

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$256K today

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%
-0.1%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$237K today

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
-0.1%

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$213K today

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%
-0.1%

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$208K today

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$191K today

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$186K today

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
+0.1%

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$161K today

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
+0.1%

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?

$160K today

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$158K today

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
+0.2%

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

$156K today

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$153K today

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
+0.5%

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$145K today

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
+0.2%

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?

$143K today

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
+0.1%

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

$142K today

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
+0.1%

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

$141K today

Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
0%
+0.1%

Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?

$137K today

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
+0.1%

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$136K today

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
31%
-0.5%

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

$135K today

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Related predictions

Related article

Read our in-depth analysis

Deep dive into 2028 election predictions with data, charts, and historical context.

Frequently asked questions

Who is leading in 2028 election prediction markets?

Prediction market odds shift daily based on news, polling data, and trader sentiment. Check the live markets above for the most current probabilities on leading candidates from both major parties.

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls for elections?

Research shows prediction markets have outperformed polls in most major elections. Because traders risk real money, markets quickly incorporate new information and tend to produce better-calibrated probability estimates than traditional survey methods.

When do 2028 election markets become most active?

Trading volume typically ramps up as primary season approaches and spikes around debates, major endorsements, and convention periods. Early markets can still be valuable but often have lower liquidity.

Want to make your own 2028 election predictions?