Outcalled
Will Trump wear a yellow tie today?

Will Trump wear a yellow tie today?

4%

probability

--

24h change

$311

24h volume

$12K

liquidity

Yes

4%

No

96%

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Quick call

Will Trump wear a yellow tie today?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends April 24, 2026

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