
Will Trump say "Iran" 4+ times during executive order signing today?
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100%
probability
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24h change
$761
24h volume
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liquidity
Yes
100%
No
0%
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Quick call
Will Trump say "Iran" 4+ times during executive order signing today?
Resolution Criteria
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market ends: March 31, 2026