
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Share:Trade this
37%
probability
-14.5%
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$636
liquidity
Yes
37%
No
64%
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Quick call
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Resolution Criteria
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit The Villages on May 1, 2026, 3PM ET (https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026, 3PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market ends May 1, 2026
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