Outcalled
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?

38%

probability

--

24h change

$184

24h volume

$693

liquidity

Yes

38%

No

63%

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Quick call

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?

Resolution Criteria

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026 (see https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/03/nato-mark-rutte-donald-trump-meeting-00858701). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Market ends: April 8, 2026

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