
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Share:Trade this
22%
probability
+2.2%
24h change
$609
24h volume
$15K
liquidity
Yes
22%
No
78%
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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market ends December 31, 2026
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