Outcalled
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

22%

probability

+2.2%

24h change

$609

24h volume

$15K

liquidity

Yes

22%

No

78%

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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

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