Outcalled
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

16%

probability

+1.5%

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$4K

liquidity

Yes

16%

No

85%

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Quick call

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: June 30, 2026

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