Outcalled
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

probability

+4.2%

24h change

$467

24h volume

$15K

liquidity

Yes

9%

No

91%

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Quick call

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

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