Outcalled
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

3%

probability

-1.0%

24h change

$228

24h volume

$14K

liquidity

Yes

3%

No

97%

Think you know the answer?

Put real money on your prediction.

Trade on Polymarket

Quick call

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

Resolution Criteria

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Market ends: December 31, 2026