Outcalled
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

4%

probability

+0.5%

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$39K

liquidity

Yes

4%

No

96%

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Quick call

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Market ends: June 30, 2026