
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
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86%
probability
-2.0%
24h change
$929
24h volume
$13K
liquidity
Yes
86%
No
14%
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Quick call
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends June 30, 2026
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