Outcalled
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

72%

probability

--

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$673

liquidity

Yes

72%

No

28%

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Quick call

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Resolution Criteria

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends: December 31, 2025

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