Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?
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4%
probability
-1.5%
24h change
$311
24h volume
$18K
liquidity
Yes
4%
No
96%
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Quick call
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?
Resolution Criteria
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends May 31, 2026
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