
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
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13%
probability
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24h change
$6K
24h volume
$5K
liquidity
Yes
13%
No
88%
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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: June 30, 2026