Outcalled
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

7%

probability

-1.0%

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$5K

liquidity

Yes

7%

No

94%

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Quick call

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.

Market ends: March 31, 2026