
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
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46%
probability
+4.0%
24h change
$10K
24h volume
$5K
liquidity
Yes
46%
No
55%
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Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Resolution Criteria
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Market ends May 9, 2026
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