Outcalled
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?

1%

probability

-0.8%

24h change

$443

24h volume

$11K

liquidity

Yes

1%

No

99%

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Quick call

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

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