
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
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25%
probability
+16.6%
24h change
$995
24h volume
$6K
liquidity
Yes
25%
No
75%
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Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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