Outcalled
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

67%

probability

+0.5%

24h change

$12K

24h volume

$38K

liquidity

Yes

67%

No

34%

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Quick call

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Market ends: May 26, 2026