
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
Share:Trade this
2%
probability
-3.5%
24h change
$713
24h volume
$11K
liquidity
Yes
2%
No
98%
Think you know the answer?
Put real money on your prediction.
Quick call
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market ends July 3, 2026
Related
Markets like this one.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0% probability

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
99% probability

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0% probability

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0% probability