Outcalled
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

25%

probability

--

24h change

$651

24h volume

$7K

liquidity

Yes

25%

No

76%

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Quick call

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends: April 30, 2026