Outcalled
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

0%

probability

--

24h change

$18K

24h volume

$0

liquidity

Yes

0%

No

100%

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Quick call

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.