Outcalled
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

8%

probability

+2.5%

24h change

$721

24h volume

$32K

liquidity

Yes

8%

No

92%

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Quick call

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

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