Outcalled
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

16%

probability

+0.5%

24h change

$764

24h volume

$20K

liquidity

Yes

16%

No

85%

Think you know the answer?

Put real money on your prediction.

Trade on Polymarket

Quick call

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

Related

Markets like this one.