Outcalled
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?

Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?

80%

probability

--

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$9K

liquidity

Yes

80%

No

20%

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Quick call

Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends July 1, 2026

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