Outcalled
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

6%

probability

+0.1%

24h change

$526

24h volume

$6K

liquidity

Yes

6%

No

94%

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Quick call

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: December 31, 2026