Outcalled
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

37%

probability

-10.5%

24h change

$552

24h volume

$23K

liquidity

Yes

37%

No

63%

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Quick call

Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market ends August 18, 2026

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