
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 2, 2026?
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33%
probability
-6.5%
24h change
$722
24h volume
$61
liquidity
Yes
33%
No
67%
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Quick call
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 2, 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET).
The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution.
For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern.
This tie would count as "Blue":
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg
This tie would count as "Red":
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other":
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg
If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends May 2, 2026
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