Outcalled
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?

10%

probability

--

24h change

$71

24h volume

$678

liquidity

Yes

10%

No

90%

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Quick call

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends May 31, 2026

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