
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
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29%
probability
-2.0%
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$4K
liquidity
Yes
29%
No
71%
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Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Market ends May 31, 2026
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