Outcalled
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

2%

probability

-1.1%

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$10K

liquidity

Yes

2%

No

98%

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Quick call

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Market ends: June 30, 2026