
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
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24%
probability
--
24h change
$880
24h volume
$6K
liquidity
Yes
24%
No
77%
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Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Donald Trump personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 1, 11:59 PM ET (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Comey qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends May 1, 2026
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