Outcalled
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

0%

probability

-0.1%

24h change

$0

24h volume

$0

liquidity

Yes

0%

No

100%

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Quick call

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Resolution Criteria

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Market ends: March 31, 2026