Outcalled
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

2%

probability

-0.1%

24h change

$687

24h volume

$7K

liquidity

Yes

2%

No

98%

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Quick call

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

Market ends June 30, 2026

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