Outcalled
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

57%

probability

-9.5%

24h change

$962

24h volume

$2K

liquidity

Yes

57%

No

43%

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Quick call

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends February 28, 2026