Outcalled
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

73%

probability

+30.5%

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$5K

liquidity

Yes

73%

No

27%

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Quick call

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Market ends: June 30, 2026

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