Outcalled
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

88%

probability

--

24h change

$207

24h volume

$22K

liquidity

Yes

88%

No

12%

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Quick call

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Resolution Criteria

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends June 1, 2026

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