
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
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13%
probability
+5.0%
24h change
$509
24h volume
$19K
liquidity
Yes
13%
No
87%
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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market ends December 31, 2026
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