Outcalled
US forces enter Iran by January 31?

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

0%

probability

-1.8%

24h change

$0

24h volume

$0

liquidity

Yes

0%

No

100%

Think you know the answer?

Put real money on your prediction.

Trade on Polymarket

Quick call

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.