Outcalled
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

35%

probability

--

24h change

$9K

24h volume

$14K

liquidity

Yes

35%

No

66%

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Quick call

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: June 30, 2026