Outcalled
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

22%

probability

-2.0%

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$18K

liquidity

Yes

22%

No

79%

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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends December 31, 2026

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