
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Share:Trade this
63%
probability
--
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$26K
liquidity
Yes
63%
No
38%
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Nothing Ever Happens: May
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Market ends May 31, 2026
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