NATO article 5 before 2027?
Share:Trade this
14%
probability
-1.0%
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$19K
liquidity
Yes
14%
No
86%
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NATO article 5 before 2027?
Resolution Criteria
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Market ends: December 31, 2026