
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Share:Trade this
42%
probability
-1.5%
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$5K
liquidity
Yes
42%
No
58%
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Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Resolution Criteria
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Market ends May 31, 2026
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